
The dollar held firm in Asian trading as investors awaited US inflation data, following recent weakness linked to falling oil prices and gains in equities. Strong October jobs data had lifted expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate increase, and hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen those bets further.
A stronger dollar can weigh on dollar-denominated agricultural commodities by making them more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The currency’s direction depends on whether CPI reinforces rate-hike expectations.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.