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A report said ECB chief economist Philip Lane told German economists that internal forecasts saw euro zone inflation at 2% by 2025, potentially implying a rate hike in 2023. The ECB denied the report, and the euro barely reacted, trading near 1.178.
Expectations of earlier ECB rate hikes would support the euro against the dollar, with knock-on effects on dollar-priced commodities. The denial limits the impact, leaving currency effects modest for feed markets.
poundsterlinglive.comGary HowesSep 17, 2021After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
