
The dollar eased as investors balanced positions ahead of US inflation data. The euro rose as much as 1.2% to a three-week high of $1.0114 after the ECB's 75 basis point hike the previous day.
A softer dollar tends to support US commodity prices in export markets. The short-term move is driven by positioning ahead of data rather than a lasting shift in the currency trend.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.