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The euro and sterling rebounded while the dollar fell on Monday, as investors took profits after reports that China would make substantial changes to its COVID-19 policy in coming months. Analysts said the dollar move was likely more about positioning than fundamentals.
A weaker dollar on expectations of Chinese reopening can modestly support dollar-denominated commodity prices, though the effect is largely sentiment-driven.
reuters.comHannah LangNov 7, 2022After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar fell on Nov 7 on profit-taking and China COVID policy reports, part of the early-window decline.
On Nov 7 the euro rebounded as profit-taking and China COVID-policy reopening reports lifted risk sentiment and weakened the dollar, adding to the start of the window's gains.
