
The dollar weakened against the euro on Friday after Britain and the EU agreed a new Brexit deal, which reduced the risk of a no-deal exit. Euro-zone recession fears eased, and the euro traded at $1.1156.
Lower Brexit risk supports the euro and weakens the dollar, a mild tailwind for dollar-priced commodities, though feed-specific impact is limited.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.