
Economy Minister Luis Caputo said Argentina could eliminate all agricultural export taxes if Javier Milei wins a second term. He cited existing cuts and gradual reductions scheduled to begin in January 2027 for soybeans, corn, sunflower and sorghum.
Lower export taxes could encourage Argentine producers to sell more abroad, increasing exportable grain supplies and weighing on global prices. The stated full elimination is conditional on a future election, so the near-term effect is limited.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 122 past bearish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.