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The Indian government may consider allowing exports of wheat grain, according to officials cited by the Times of India. FCI wheat stocks are 25.9 MT against a January 1 buffer requirement of 13.8 MT, and the 2025/26 sown area is a record 33.4 million hectares.
An inter-ministerial decision is expected soon.
If India allows grain exports, it could add meaningful supply to a world market that has been supplied by Russia and others. Traders would likely see this as bearish for export prices, but the proposal is not yet approved.
timesofindia.indiatimes.comDipak K DashJan 30, 2026After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
