Argentina announced gradual monthly cuts to export taxes on agricultural products starting January 2027. Soybean export tax would fall from 24% to 15% by end-2028, and corn tax from 8.5% to 5.5%, with President Milei aiming for zero export taxes.
Expected reductions in Argentine export taxes should encourage more soybean, meal and corn exports over time, weighing on world prices.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.