Loading…
Brazil’s INMET forecast puts the probability of very strong El Niño conditions by December at 95%, with the influence expected to continue into early 2027. The outlook points to lower rainfall and higher temperatures in parts of the North, Northeast, and Center-West, while the South could see above-average rain; agronomists recommend region-specific management, staggered planting, and soil cover.
The contrasting rainfall risks could affect crop establishment, fieldwork, and yields, with potential support for prices if dry or excessively wet conditions reduce output. No specific crop loss is established yet, so the price implications remain uncertain.
conexaosafra.comDaiane F. OlaNov 8, 2026After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
