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Iowa State Integrated Crop Management summarizes NOAA's November and winter 2021-22 outlooks. November shows equal chances for Iowa, while winter shows a classic La Niña pattern with colder conditions from Minnesota northwest and drier conditions across the southern US.
Cold, dry winter forecasts for the northern and southern Plains could affect winter wheat dormancy and the 2022 crop outlook, though the signal for Iowa is weak and gives limited price direction.
crops.extension.iastate.eduContent Author: Justin Glisan, Dennis TodeyOct 25, 2021After 29 past neutral weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.3%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
