ANS hikes ... swoons

After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.

• Aug 22, 2022Oil pares losses after Saudi oilmin says OPEC+ has options including cuts+0.9%
• Apr 6, 2026OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? | Euronews-13.2%
• Apr 1, 2022Soybean oil prices have fallen, but palm and sunflower oil prices remain high 01.04.2022 - UkrAgroConsult-4.4%
• Mar 9, 2026European nitrogen market rallies on gas price hike, Iran conflicts | S&P Global+8.5%
• Nov 1, 2025Oil Rises on Reports US Plans to Strike OPEC Producer Venezuela-2.0%

After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.

• May 3, 2026OPEC+ Agrees Symbolic Quota Hike as UAE Touts Oil Investment - Bloomberg-9.5%
• Jun 1, 2026EXCLUSIVE: OPEC+ set for another oil output quota hike despite Hormuz closure, sources say+2.9%
• Aug 22, 2022Oil pares losses after Saudi oilmin says OPEC+ has options including cuts+4.6%
• Oct 28, 2025Diesel Prices Jump on Russia Sanctions and Refinery Outages - Bloomberg-0.4%
• Apr 6, 2026OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? | Euronews-9.7%