
Oil prices were nearly flat on Monday after bouncing off session lows, with Brent settling at $96.48. Saudi Arabia said OPEC+ has options including output cuts, while the U.S. State Department said an Iran nuclear deal was closer.
Possible OPEC+ cuts support crude prices, while a nuclear deal would add Iranian supply, leaving a two-sided outlook for energy input costs.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.