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Iraq's oil minister said Iraq did not seek exemption from OPEC+ output cuts because it fears falling prices. Iraq overproduced in October, pumping 3.842 million b/d against a quota of 3.804 million b/d.
Iraqi overproduction adds supply risk to an already fragile market, though the minister's stance supports maintaining cuts and crude prices.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.