
OPEC+ was set to meet on December 4 to review production quotas, ahead of the EU ban on Russian crude and the G7 price cap. Delegates expected a rollover of current quotas, though a further cut was not ruled out.
Uncertainty over OPEC+ output and Russian crude flows keeps energy prices volatile, which feeds through to biofuel margins and vegetable oil and feed input costs.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.