U.S. wheat falls back into negative territory in Chicago

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Sep 25, 2023Terrain | Cheap Russian Wheat Puts Lid on U.S. Wheat Prices-2.7%
• Jul 25, 2025U.S. grains: Chicago wheat futures dip on global supply pressure; corn, soybeans fall - AgCanada-1.2%
• Sep 23, 2025Russia’s wheat exports from Black Sea ports fall to 460kt-0.2%
• Jul 19, 2016Soybeans, corn, wheat give back gains - Brownfield Ag News-1.3%
• Mar 22, 2024U.S. wheat sales to China cancelled - Manitoba Co-operator+1.2%

After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Dec 15, 2016U.S. Challenges China Anew Over Rice, Wheat, Corn Barriers-2.2%
• Dec 16, 2019Factbox: What is actually in the U.S.-China 'Phase One' trade deal?+4.2%
• Oct 5, 2021China’s buying — and U.S. farms cashing in-1.3%
• Feb 4, 2021Fundamental, Technical Factors Lifted U.S. Wheat Futures Prices-3.1%
• Sep 29, 2026U.S.-China Trade Details | Red River Farm Network-2.9%

After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Sep 22, 2022U.S. Weekly Export Sales to China Notable in Wheat, Meats - Pro Farmer-3.6%
• Sep 26, 2019Chicago, Kansas City wheat up on oversold bounce - Brownfield Ag News+2.8%
• Jul 30, 2020China needs 'explosive' buying to meet U.S. farm import target-1.1%
• Oct 5, 2021China’s buying — and U.S. farms cashing in-0.6%
• Feb 4, 2021Fundamental, Technical Factors Lifted U.S. Wheat Futures Prices-1.3%

After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.

• Sep 23, 2020U.S. wheat futures fall on fading export hopes, corn weak, soy flat+0.8%
• Feb 13, 2025Further decline in Black Sea wheat exports: Grain market daily | AHDB-0.9%
• Mar 1, 2025Rupee falls 22 paise to 87.41 against US dollar in early trade today-1.8%
• May 8, 2018U.S.-China trade tensions press CBOT soybeans - Xinhua | English.news.cn-0.1%
• Jul 31, 2019Australian dollar falls to post-GFC low - OFX (US)+0.9%