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CoBank's economist says Chinese demand for US meat and crops has lifted prices and could keep them strong through the fall of 2022. US agricultural exports to China set a record in the last nine months.
The Phase 1 deal, which targets $40 billion a year in ag purchases, expires at year-end.
Sustained Chinese purchases, especially seasonal soybean buying from October to December, support US soybean and feed prices. Uncertainty after the Phase 1 deal expires adds risk to the outlook.
farmprogress.comJacqui FatkaOct 5, 2021After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
