
A COFCO executive said China is likely to speed up purchases of U.S. farm goods. Under the Phase One deal, China committed to buy an additional $32 billion of U.S. agricultural products over two years above a 2017 baseline.
Soybeans were the largest U.S. farm product shipped to China.
Faster Chinese buying would tighten U.S. old-crop and new-crop soybean balances and support soybean prices. Corn demand would also benefit if purchases broaden.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.