Ukraine's Grain Exports Decline by Over 30% in Early 2026/2027 Marketing Year

After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2024Ukraine grain exports seen declining sharply+0.0%
• May 2, 2024Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports+2.1%
• Jul 2, 2025In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%-3.1%
• Sep 6, 2024Ukraine's Maritime Food Exports Fall in August+1.0%
• Jan 31, 2025What are the prospects for UK wheat exports this year? Grain market daily | AHDB+0.2%

After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Jun 1, 2026UGA: Grain exports in the 2026/2027 marketing year could potentially reach 50.8 MMT with a crop of 83.6 MMT --5.0%
• Feb 27, 2025USDA's initial look at 2025-26 marketing year - Pro Farmer-5.3%
• Feb 6, 2024Ukraine grain exports on the rise | World Grain-1.7%
• Oct 1, 2018Major Changes in Export Flows Over the Last Decade Show the U.S. Is Losing Market Share in Global Grain Trade | Economic Research Service+1.2%
• Oct 10, 2019Chart Of Note: U.S. Exports Of Feed Grains In All Forms (GIAF) Decline In 2018/2019, But Still Represent Third Largest Year On Record - U.S. Grains & BioProducts Council+0.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.