In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Mar 6, 2026US ethanol production, exports reach new highs in 2025 | Feed & Grain+1.2%
• May 2, 2024Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports+0.9%
• Oct 19, 2021In October, the USDA reduced its grain crop and export forecasts for the Black Sea region 19.10.2021 - UkrAgroConsult+0.7%
• Nov 12, 2025Corn exports from Ukraine exceeded 2.5 mln tons+2.0%
• Jan 25, 2024Grain Transportation Report, January 25, 2024-0.8%

After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• May 2, 2024Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports+2.1%
• Oct 19, 2021In October, the USDA reduced its grain crop and export forecasts for the Black Sea region 19.10.2021 - UkrAgroConsult+0.7%
• Nov 12, 2025Corn exports from Ukraine exceeded 2.5 mln tons+2.1%
• Jan 25, 2024Grain Transportation Report, January 25, 2024-0.4%
• Jul 31, 2024Ukraine food and grain exports gain steam+5.3%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.