Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports

After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2024Ukraine grain exports seen declining sharply+0.0%
• Jul 31, 2024Ukraine food and grain exports gain steam+5.3%
• Jul 2, 2025In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%-3.1%
• Sep 6, 2024Ukraine's Maritime Food Exports Fall in August+1.0%
• Jan 25, 2024Australia’s grain production and export outlook | UkrAgroConsult-0.4%

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2024Ukraine grain exports seen declining sharply+2.5%
• Jul 2, 2025In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%-3.1%
• Aug 17, 2026Lower grain output, stronger exports tighten U.S. feed stocks | Feed & Grain+2.3%
• Feb 8, 2022U.S. Ag Exports Top a Record $177 Billion in 2021+1.9%
• Feb 8, 2023RFA Reports Highlight Record Value of Ethanol, Distillers Grains Exports in 2022-0.3%