
The USDA FAS projects Ukraine's 2024-25 corn exports down 38% to 17.8 million tonnes, wheat exports down 18% to 15.2 million, and barley down 19% to 2 million. Ending stocks for all grains fell 82% to 1.2 million tonnes, the lowest in more than 20 years.
A sharp fall in Ukrainian exports and near-record low stocks tighten global corn, wheat and barley supplies, supporting feed grain prices.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.