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At the USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum, chief economist Seth Meyer described high volatility in US agriculture, noting that all four major US crops had lower-than-average stocks-to-use in 2022-23. He said tight stocks mean continued price volatility.
Tight US stocks across major crops keep price risk elevated for feed buyers, and Black Sea export flows are a key factor in global grain prices.
world-grain.comMatt NoltemeyerFeb 24, 2023After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
