
USDA raised U.S. soybean and wheat ending stocks on lower export demand, as rival suppliers in Argentina, Brazil and Canada gained share. Soybean futures fell to session lows before recovering, and corn and wheat edged higher.
Heavier U.S. carryout and lagging exports point to weaker soybean and wheat prices, while South American supply keeps competition strong. Ethanol-driven corn use trims corn stocks, which is supportive for corn.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.