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US grain-in-all-forms exports in the 2018/2019 marketing year fell 11% from the prior record to 106 million metric tons, still the third-best year on record. Corn and sorghum accounted for 92% of the 13.3 million ton decline, while pork, beef and poultry exports posted a slight gain.
The US Grains Council attributed the weakness to the China trade dispute, slowing global growth, stronger South American competition and a rising dollar.
Lower US corn and sorghum export volumes leave more supply domestically and weigh on export-linked corn and sorghum prices. Stronger South American competition and a firmer dollar reinforce bearish pressure on US feed grain values.
grains.orgrwinkertOct 10, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
