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The Ukrainian Grain Association forecasts the 2026 grain and oilseed crop at 83.6 million tonnes, up from 80 million in 2025. It projects 2026/27 grain exports of up to 50.8 million tonnes, conditional on logistics not worsening, with wheat and corn crops both rising.
A larger Ukrainian crop and export potential add bearish supply pressure for wheat and corn, though logistical risks could limit actual exports.
uga.uaRegistrationJun 1, 2026After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
