
Oil fell on Thursday for the first time in six days after the Federal Reserve cut rates but signaled the move might not start a longer series of cuts. Brent dropped $1.49 to $63.56 and WTI fell 3% to $56.81.
A stronger dollar and rising U.S. output weighed on prices despite a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. inventories.
A firmer dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers, which tends to weigh on grain and oilseed prices. Dimmer rate-cut expectations also pressure commodity demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Fed's non-committal cut, stronger dollar and rising US output weighed on Brent on Aug 1.