
Corn futures edged higher, and USDA announced a flash sale of 101,000 tonnes of corn to an unknown buyer. The report also noted that Argentina’s corn planting had reached 51%, above its historical average, and that China’s commerce minister linked further U.S. agricultural purchases to implementation of a reciprocal tariff-cut agreement.
The corn sale adds a modest source of export demand, while faster planting in Argentina may support expectations for new-crop supply. The conditional nature of potential Chinese purchases leaves additional U.S. demand uncertain.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.