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Donald Trump's election victory raised expectations of expanded tariffs, including proposed tariffs of up to 20pc on all foreign goods and 60pc on Chinese imports. US Gulf corn and soybean FOB prices rose only slightly on 6 November, and some buyers are avoiding long-term soybean contracts.
Tariff risk to China and other key export markets adds a risk premium and discourages forward buying, which weighs on export demand. Price moves so far have been minimal as the market waits for policy clarity.
argusmedia.comRachel NelsonMar 25, 2024After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
