
US and China declared a trade truce, with China reportedly agreeing to buy more US agricultural and energy products, lifting grain futures and soybeans in particular. Corn planting reached 81% by May 20, matching the five-year average.
Prospective Chinese purchases of US soybeans support soy prices and export demand, while steady planting progress limits corn weather premium.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.