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The article says El Niño-related rainfall contrasts and drought could affect Brazilian crops into the first half of 2027. In Paraná, excessive rain reduced winter-grain yields and quality; the state projects total winter-grain production at 2.84 million tonnes, down 28% from 2025, including wheat output of 1.9 million tonnes, down 34%.
Lower Paraná wheat and other winter-grain output can tighten domestic supply and support prices, while weather risks to other crops may add further uncertainty. Excess rainfall has also impaired quality, potentially limiting wheat’s suitability for milling and increasing feed-use availability of downgraded grain.
agro.anunciaunai.com.brNov 6, 2026After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 68 past bullish weather events, Oats moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
