Crude oil rout pressures South American soybean oil prices

After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.

• Apr 7, 2025Palm and soybean oil prices fell by 4.4-5.9% amid a 14.5% drop in oil prices in two days+2.0%
• Apr 7, 2025Palm and Soy Oil Prices Drop as Oil Prices Decline+2.0%
• Aug 19, 2021Falling oil prices increase pressure on oilseed markets-4.3%
• Mar 5, 2025Declining crude oil and vegetable oil prices lower prices for sunflower seeds and oil in Ukraine-0.9%
• Mar 10, 2020Crude oil’s crash jeopardises Asia’s cleaner fuel ambitions | FMT-8.5%

After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jul 7, 2026Oil prices settle at pre-Iran war levels as crude output grows+13.9%
• Apr 23, 2020Ringgit at risk from weak crude oil prices+9.9%
• Dec 20, 2018Oil demand flashes red, sending crude prices even lower-6.7%
• Apr 7, 2025Palm and soybean oil prices fell by 4.4-5.9% amid a 14.5% drop in oil prices in two days-0.8%
• Sep 18, 2024Crude oil prices today: WTI, Brent lower as Fed cuts rates+0.3%

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Jul 7, 2026Oil prices settle at pre-Iran war levels as crude output grows+16.5%
• Feb 27, 2020Rupee strengthens against USD amid easing crude oil prices-5.0%
• Dec 20, 2018Oil demand flashes red, sending crude prices even lower-8.1%
• Apr 7, 2025Palm and soybean oil prices fell by 4.4-5.9% amid a 14.5% drop in oil prices in two days-1.7%
• Sep 18, 2024Crude oil prices today: WTI, Brent lower as Fed cuts rates+1.5%