
The Bank of England raised its policy rate by a quarter point to 4%, its first hike in the cycle, as widely expected, while the Norges Bank held its deposit rate at 4.5%. Following the US midterm results, December WTI fell 8.3% in a single session, the largest one-day drop since the Iran war began, and this pulled yields lower.
A higher UK rate supports sterling against the dollar, which lowers the cost of UK-sourced feed ingredients priced in dollars and can reduce demand for dollar-linked commodity imports. The sharp oil drop eases energy and freight cost pressure on feed supply chains.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.