
The Bank of Canada raised its overnight rate target by 50 basis points to 3.75% and continued quantitative tightening. The bank projected global growth slowing from 3% in 2022 to about 1.5% in 2023.
Projected slower global growth reduces expected demand for energy and commodities, a bearish signal for feed demand and prices. Higher Canadian rates also affect currency values for Canadian exporters.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.