
Crude oil benchmarks ended March with their biggest monthly and quarterly losses on record, each losing roughly two-thirds of its value in the quarter. The declines followed the coronavirus-driven economic freeze and a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia.
Trump and Putin agreed to talks on stabilizing energy markets, which gave prices some support.
Collapsing fuel demand and a supply surge cut crude prices sharply, which lowers diesel and energy costs for feed producers and feed ingredients' freight and processing costs. The price pressure is expected to continue while demand stays depressed.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the March 31 close with record monthly/quarterly losses driven by demand collapse and the Saudi-Russia price war, matching the day's selloff context.
Record monthly and quarterly losses on Mar 31 reflect demand freeze and price war; Trump-Putin talks gave only limited support.