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Malaysian palm oil futures fell as much as 5.7% on March 15, extending losses to a fourth session. Weaker crude, speculative selling and COVID-19 cases surging in China, a key buyer, weighed on prices.
Weaker demand from China and lower crude prices pressure palm oil and related vegetable oils, while Indonesia's export rule changes remain a watch point for supply.
brecorder.comReutersMar 16, 2022After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm's continued losses through March 15 on weaker crude, speculative selling and China COVID demand worries extended the vegetable oil selloff and weighed on soybean oil.
Palm oil extended losses to a fourth session on March 15 on weak crude, speculative selling and China COVID concerns, and palm weakness spills into soybean oil as a close substitute, which fits a sharp drop in mid-March.
