
The Canadian dollar weakened 0.2% against the US dollar on June 30 as Sino-US tensions rose and Statistics Canada reported real GDP fell 11.6% in April. The decline was smaller than the 13% analysts expected, while a flash estimate showed a 3% rebound in May.
US crude fell 1.8% to $38.99 a barrel.
Currency moves in CAD affect Canadian feed buyers' import costs, and the weaker oil price lowers energy-linked input costs. The macro backdrop has limited direct impact on grain or feed prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.