The rupee opened at 94.36 per dollar and was last near 94.48 as the dollar softened and crude oil prices retreated. Indian equities rallied, with the Sensex up about 2% after foreign fund inflows resumed.
Falling crude and firmer equities support the rupee by reducing India's energy import costs and attracting foreign capital. These factors can cushion the currency if oil stabilises.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.