
Oil prices fell about 5% on Thursday to their lowest level in more than a year. Oversupply worries and weaker energy demand outlooks drove the decline.
Global equities sold off after the U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates and signaled further hikes over the next two years.
Tighter U.S. monetary policy and equity weakness reduce demand expectations for energy, pushing crude lower. Cheaper oil lowers fuel and transport costs but also cuts the value of biofuel-linked feedstock demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dec 20 ~5% drop to a 1+ year low as the Fed hike triggered an equity selloff and oversupply worries, hitting sentiment and demand outlook within the window.
Dec 20 ~5% drop as the Fed hike triggered an equity selloff and raised demand concerns, adding to oversupply worries.