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AgriTalker reports vegetable oil prices fell about 5% in early December as Brent and WTI crude dropped sharply, with Brent at $77.2 per barrel, its lowest since July. Better South American weather also weighed on the complex, with soybean and palm oil among the markets declining.
Lower crude oil reduces the discretionary biofuel margin for vegetable oils, pushing soyoil and palm oil prices lower.
agritalker.comVangawa BolgentDec 6, 2023After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
