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An outlook piece says the rupiah may stay in the Rp18,000 to Rp18,100 range through the fourth quarter of 2026, with a worse-case scenario of Rp18,350 by year-end. Pressures cited include rising oil prices, high US bond yields and uncertainty over Indonesia's market status in the MSCI assessment.
An INDEF economist expects limited room for a rebound toward Rp17,000.
Persistent rupiah weakness raises the local cost of dollar-priced feed imports and energy, which can squeeze margins for Indonesian feed buyers. The forecast is an analyst view rather than a market-moving event.
kabarbisnis.comDidik SutrisnoNov 5, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
