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Soybean futures rallied 9.75 to 26.5 cents on January 10 after USDA data showed a 1 bpa cut to yield at 50.7 bpa and production down 95 mbu to 4.366 bbu. December 1 stocks came in 112 mbu below estimates and ending stocks were trimmed to 380 mbu.
Soymeal fell while soyoil rallied sharply.
A smaller US crop and tighter ending stocks reduce available supply, supporting soybean and soyoil prices while soymeal weakness reflects weaker meal demand relative to oil.
barchart.comAustin SchroederJan 10, 2025After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
