
African swine fever remains active in 26 localities in Vietnam, while foot-and-mouth disease and PRRS have been cleared nationwide. Lumpy skin disease and avian influenza persist in a few areas, and farmers are restocking pigs cautiously.
Continued ASF in Vietnam keeps hog supply constrained and feed demand uncertain; falling hog prices and high feed costs weigh on the feed-buying outlook.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.