
African swine fever has spread to nine Vietnamese provinces and cities, including Hanoi, with outbreaks in Hoa Binh and Dien Bien. Over 6,400 pigs have been killed or died, and authorities are restricting pig transport and sales in affected areas.
Spreading ASF in Vietnam, where pork is a large share of meat consumption, cuts hog numbers and feed demand, weighing on hog prices while pushing buyers toward other proteins and feed.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.