African swine fever killed about 2,200 pigs in at least 24 outbreaks in the Dominican Republic this summer, the first detection in the Western Hemisphere since 1984. Investigators are still working out how the virus entered the country, and authorities have culled additional pigs.
ASF in the Americas raises the risk of trade bans on pork and feed ingredients, which could pressure US pork exports and lean hog prices, while supporting demand for alternative proteins. The virus can survive for months in feed ingredients, which adds risk to feed supply chains.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.