
USDA's November Cattle on Feed report showed feedlot inventories up 1.7% year over year, after October placements rose 3.8%. Placements were boosted by drought-driven early marketing, sharply higher feeder imports from Mexico (up 49% in October), and strong feeder prices.
Larger placements add near-term feeder supply to feedlots, which pressures feeder cattle prices, though the increase was smaller than expected and feeder prices remain well above last year.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.