Oklahoma State extension specialist Derrell Peel reviewed the October USDA cattle reports. Placements rose 106% from 2022, while marketings were 89% of last year's total, leaving feedlot supplies larger than expected.
Heifers make up 40% of feedlot inventory, the highest since 2001.
Larger feedlot supplies and heavy heifer marketings point to more near-term cattle supply and lower fed cattle prices. Beef cow liquidation also suggests tight herd rebuilding over the longer term.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.