
The dollar gained against the euro, Australian dollar and yen in the 3 November ECB fixings after US job openings (JOLTS) and factory orders beat forecasts. EUR/USD fixed at 1.1179 and AUD/USD at 0.6984, both lower than the prior fixing.
Stronger US macro data and a firmer dollar weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and make US exports pricier for importers, while supporting Fed tightening expectations.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.