Dollar beats euro for first week since mid-June after bullish data

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024US dollar gains after GDP data; euro falls to six-week low after dovish ECB, Lagarde | Reuters-0.0%
• May 20, 2026Euro hits fresh six-week lows after Eurozone's final inflation data-0.2%
• Jun 23, 2022Euro sinks after bleak manufacturing, services data; U.S. dollar rises+0.4%
• Aug 28, 2026Dollar jumps after Warsh comments, set for weekly gain | Reuters-0.2%
• Mar 20, 2020Dollar strengthens, set for best week since the financial crisis-2.1%

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024US dollar gains after GDP data; euro falls to six-week low after dovish ECB, Lagarde | Reuters-0.4%
• May 20, 2026Euro hits fresh six-week lows after Eurozone's final inflation data+0.2%
• Jun 23, 2022Euro sinks after bleak manufacturing, services data; U.S. dollar rises-1.0%
• Oct 27, 2022Euro falls against the dollar after ECB rate hike, U.S. data-1.9%
• Mar 12, 2020Euro falls after ECB holds fire, dollar jumps as spreads widen-4.0%