
EUR/USD fell to six-week lows near 1.1583 after Eurozone final HICP showed inflation accelerating to 3% in April. Oil above $100 and US-Iran threats boosted the safe-haven dollar.
A stronger dollar and high oil prices raise input costs and can weigh on dollar-denominated feed commodity prices, while energy-driven inflation keeps the ECB on a tightening path.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.