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Corn and soybeans rallied as forecasts pointed to a dry Midwest for the next few weeks, with soybeans gaining 34 cents. Crop progress showed winter wheat conditions improving slightly, but Kansas good-to-excellent ratings sat at just 10%.
A sale of soymeal to the Philippines was reported, and Poland was exporting more wheat into the US.
Dryness forecasts and a possible El Niño are supporting corn and soy prices, while weak Kansas wheat conditions add support for wheat. Soybean meal demand is firming as Argentina is absent from export markets.
dailymarketminute.comSebastian FrostMay 22, 2023After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Forecasts for a dry Midwest over the next few weeks raised yield risk and drove the corn and soybean rally on May 22, which matches the up move.
